Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schmaltz
Hartman
Last 7: Schmaltz 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
45.1% (874)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
47.4% (95)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
37.5% (16)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
44.9% (434)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.7% (405)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
41.5%
47.3%
P2
46.7%
40.1%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |