Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Noesen 44.6% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 53.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 55.9%
Neutral zone
Noesen 51.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Schmaltz
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
42.3% (407)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
46.5% (114)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
57.1% (14)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Noesen
Home
42.8% (2,114)
43.8% (267)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Schmaltz
Noesen
P1
41.3%
38.2%
P2
42.8%
45.3%
P3
43.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%