Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Vanek shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Vanek 41.7% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Vanek 54.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 65.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Schmaltz
Vanek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Vanek
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
37.7% (146)
+3.6%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
36.1% (61)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
60.0% (5)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Vanek has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vanek shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Vanek is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Vanek
Home
42.8% (2,114)
39.6% (111)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Schmaltz
Vanek
P1
41.3%
32.1%
P2
42.8%
40.9%
P3
43.1%
40.0%
OT
42.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Vanek
28.0%▼
38.5%
37.7%