Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 88.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 73.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Schmaltz
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Schmaltz
Nosek
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
3
Schmaltz
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Schmaltz
Nosek
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
54.9% (2,710)
-13.6%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
45.8% (48)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
47.2% (428)
+0.2%
On even strength, Nosek has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nosek
Home
42.8% (2,114)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nosek
P1
41.3%
52.2%
P2
42.8%
54.1%
P3
43.1%
54.7%
OT
42.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |