Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Jost 40.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 88.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 54.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Schmaltz
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Schmaltz
Jost
Last 10: Schmaltz 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
1
Schmaltz
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
4
Schmaltz
Jost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
2
Schmaltz
Jost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
41.0% (2,016)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
34.2% (73)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
35.2% (256)
+12.2%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Jost
Home
42.8% (2,114)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Schmaltz
Jost
P1
41.3%
38.5%
P2
42.8%
41.1%
P3
43.1%
40.9%
OT
42.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |