Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Spaling 46.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 58.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 60.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.1%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Richards
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Spaling
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Richards
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
48.4% (419)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
32.1% (53)
+6.9%
On power play, Richards has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Richards shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Richards
Spaling
Home
52.3% (214)
52.2% (251)
Away
45.8% (227)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Richards
Spaling
P1
47.3%
40.6%
P2
53.2%
43.9%
P3
46.3%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |