Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Nichol 58.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 56.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 52.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 55.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Spaling
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Spaling
Nichol
Last 10: Spaling 4-6 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Spaling
Nichol
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
3
Spaling
Nichol
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
3
Spaling
Nichol
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
59.0% (948)
-8.5%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
42.9% (14)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
59.5% (185)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nichol
Home
51.9% (1,437)
59.7% (576)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Spaling
Nichol
P1
49.8%
58.4%
P2
48.3%
57.3%
P3
52.0%
61.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |