Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 65.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Spaling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Spaling
Stamkos
Last 10: Spaling 8-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
0
Spaling
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.0%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
55.2% (1,729)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
49.6% (827)
-1.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Spaling
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (1,437)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Spaling
Stamkos
P1
49.8%
49.2%
P2
48.3%
52.7%
P3
52.0%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |