Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 96.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Toews
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
5
(23 meetings)
18
5
Toews
Suzuki
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Suzuki
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
1
Toews
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
49.4% (6,368)
+7.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
50.8% (1,355)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
44.0% (466)
+9.6%
On power play, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Toews
Suzuki
Home
59.7% (9,212)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Toews
Suzuki
P1
58.6%
48.9%
P2
57.9%
49.1%
P3
57.3%
50.3%
OT
58.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 01:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 03:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |