Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 77.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Hayes
Suzuki
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
8
Hayes
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Hayes
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
6
Hayes
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
49.4% (6,368)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.8% (1,355)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
44.0% (466)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
47.5%
48.9%
P2
47.6%
49.1%
P3
47.9%
50.3%
OT
54.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |