Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Suzuki
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Roy
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Suzuki
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Suzuki
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
51.9% (547)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
54.1% (37)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
53.3% (92)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Suzuki shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Roy
Home
51.0% (637)
54.0% (328)
Away
50.2% (657)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Suzuki
Roy
P1
53.1%
53.5%
P2
47.4%
51.6%
P3
51.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |