Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Cates 43.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 82.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 54.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 65.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Suzuki
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
21
(47 meetings)
26
21
Suzuki
Cates
Last 10: Suzuki 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
3
Suzuki
Cates
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
5
7
Suzuki
Cates
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
10
11
Suzuki
Cates
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
44.1% (2,786)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
42.9% (254)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
34.9% (373)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cates
Home
51.1% (4,031)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Suzuki
Cates
P1
48.9%
44.5%
P2
49.1%
43.7%
P3
50.3%
41.2%
OT
44.4%
29.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |