Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Cotter 50.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cotter 57.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 57.1%
Neutral zone
Cotter 60.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Suzuki
Cotter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suzuki
Cotter
Last 5: Suzuki 4-1 Cotter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Cotter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Cotter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
50.2% (253)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
64.3% (14)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
100.0% (1)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Cotter has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Cotter is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cotter
Home
51.1% (4,031)
51.0% (143)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
51.2% (125)
By Period
Suzuki
Cotter
P1
48.9%
54.2%
P2
49.1%
43.4%
P3
50.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Cotter
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Paul Cotter |