Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Zacha 51.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 79.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
1
Suzuki
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
53.0% (700)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
54.1% (109)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
39.2% (74)
+1.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
51.0% (637)
51.6% (438)
Away
50.2% (657)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
53.1%
57.0%
P2
47.4%
48.9%
P3
51.3%
50.5%
OT
48.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |