Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.5% vs Zacha 51.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 81.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
1
Suzuki
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (701)
53.7% (497)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (212)
54.8% (84)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (55)
37.5% (64)
-3.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
49.6% (486)
51.0% (335)
Away
49.4% (482)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
51.1%
60.0%
P2
46.0%
48.1%
P3
51.6%
48.8%
OT
44.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |