Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Holmberg 46.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Holmberg leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.8%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 71.7%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 54.8%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Suzuki
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Suzuki
Holmberg
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Holmberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
4
Suzuki
Holmberg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Holmberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
45.3% (676)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
50.0% (22)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
45.9% (61)
-1.9%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Holmberg
Home
51.1% (4,031)
46.2% (422)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Suzuki
Holmberg
P1
48.9%
53.1%
P2
49.1%
40.9%
P3
50.3%
42.3%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |