Nick Suzuki vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 57.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 60.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Suzuki 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
46.0% (250)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
70.6% (17)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
31.8% (22)
+8.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.0% (637)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.2% (657)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.1%
48.5%
P2
47.4%
45.9%
P3
51.3%
46.5%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |