Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 66.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Suzuki
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suzuki
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Suzuki
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
52.5% (200)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
71.4% (7)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
40.0% (45)
+0.3%
On power play, Steel has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Steel
Home
51.0% (637)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.2% (657)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Suzuki
Steel
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
47.4%
47.5%
P3
51.3%
56.6%
OT
48.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |