Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.1%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Suzuki
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Suzuki
Kuraly
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
9
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Suzuki
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
52.6% (464)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
100.0% (1)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
46.5% (155)
-6.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kuraly
Home
51.0% (637)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.2% (657)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Suzuki
Kuraly
P1
53.1%
55.9%
P2
47.4%
46.7%
P3
51.3%
50.7%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |