Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Pinto 51.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 75.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 81.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Suzuki
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Suzuki
Pinto
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
5
6
Suzuki
Pinto
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
50.5% (556)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
68.0% (25)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
51.1% (94)
-10.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Suzuki shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Pinto
Home
51.0% (637)
50.0% (310)
Away
50.2% (657)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Suzuki
Pinto
P1
53.1%
51.8%
P2
47.4%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
53.1%
OT
48.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |