Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
21
(44 meetings)
23
21
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
12
Suzuki
Stamkos
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
13
5
Suzuki
Stamkos
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Suzuki
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
50.5% (9,825)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
55.2% (1,729)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
49.6% (827)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (4,031)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
48.9%
49.2%
P2
49.1%
52.7%
P3
50.3%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 04:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 01:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |