Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Suzuki
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Suzuki
Nosek
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
0
Suzuki
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
8
Suzuki
Nosek
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
54.9% (2,710)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
45.8% (48)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
47.2% (428)
-3.2%
On even strength, Nosek has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Nosek
Home
51.1% (4,031)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Suzuki
Nosek
P1
48.9%
52.2%
P2
49.1%
54.1%
P3
50.3%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |