Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kozak 55.4%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Suzuki
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suzuki
Kozak
Last 5: Suzuki 2-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
49.3% (294)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
60.0% (5)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
50.0% (40)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kozak
Home
51.0% (637)
45.5% (145)
Away
50.2% (657)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Suzuki
Kozak
P1
53.1%
53.4%
P2
47.4%
50.0%
P3
51.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |