Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 60.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 66.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Suzuki
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
45.1% (164)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
50.0% (2)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
45.2% (31)
-4.9%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Girgensons
Home
51.0% (637)
44.6% (92)
Away
50.2% (657)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Suzuki
Girgensons
P1
53.1%
44.2%
P2
47.4%
46.0%
P3
51.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |