Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 60.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Backstrom
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (77)
53.9% (787)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
63.2% (193)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.3% (88)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Backstrom shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Zacha
Home
54.5% (55)
56.7% (538)
Away
48.3% (29)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Backstrom
Zacha
P1
50.0%
52.6%
P2
52.9%
54.8%
P3
55.0%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%