Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 72.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Backstrom
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
48.9% (352)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
81.3% (16)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
42.2% (45)
-26.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Backstrom shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carrick
Home
48.5% (328)
46.9% (192)
Away
44.2% (321)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Backstrom
Carrick
P1
44.8%
48.1%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%