Nicklas Backstrom vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 65-57 in 122 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Backstrom
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
57
(122 meetings)
65
57
Backstrom
Stamkos
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
20
21
Backstrom
Stamkos
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
18
26
Backstrom
Stamkos
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
27
10
Backstrom
Stamkos
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
55.2% (1,729)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
49.6% (827)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Backstrom shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stamkos
Home
52.6% (7,223)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Backstrom
Stamkos
P1
50.1%
49.2%
P2
49.7%
52.7%
P3
51.6%
50.9%
OT
52.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |