Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Hischier 55.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Finley 58.4%
Defensive zone
Finley 75.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 63.4%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Finley
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Finley
Hischier
Last 10: Finley 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Finley
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
2
Finley
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Finley
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (270)
55.5% (1,172)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.5% (265)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
43.9% (164)
+9.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Finley shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Finley
Hischier
Home
53.8% (199)
56.8% (791)
Away
46.2% (117)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Finley
Hischier
P1
54.7%
56.0%
P2
47.4%
58.6%
P3
51.8%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Finley |