Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Hischier 52.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 88.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 87.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 82.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
20
(31 meetings)
11
20
McBain
Hischier
Last 10: McBain 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
5
McBain
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
8
McBain
Hischier
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
7
McBain
Hischier
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
51.6% (8,444)
-3.5%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
59.9% (1,749)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
49.3% (918)
-13.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
49.1% (1,379)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
47.1%
52.9%
P2
47.4%
52.6%
P3
45.4%
52.7%
OT
37.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack McBain |