Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Hischier 52.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 37-15 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 95.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 98.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 95.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
37
(52 meetings)
15
37
Barzal
Hischier
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
9
Barzal
Hischier
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
9
Barzal
Hischier
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
19
Barzal
Hischier
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
51.6% (8,444)
-9.7%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
59.9% (1,749)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.3% (918)
-7.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
43.2% (1,901)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
40.6%
52.9%
P2
44.6%
52.6%
P3
41.1%
52.7%
OT
27.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |