Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Hischier 55.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 86.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 69.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Schmaltz
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schmaltz
Hischier
Last 5: Schmaltz 1-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Schmaltz
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
55.8% (1,228)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
62.1% (282)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
47.6% (267)
+11.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hischier
Home
49.0% (206)
56.5% (867)
Away
49.4% (170)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hischier
P1
53.6%
57.9%
P2
46.2%
55.9%
P3
50.4%
52.7%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |