Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Roy 48.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 92.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 70.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 76.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Hischier
Roy
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
12
3
Hischier
Roy
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
8
Hischier
Roy
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
2
Hischier
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
49.5% (283)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
45.5% (477)
+3.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
53.0% (5,477)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
52.9%
50.8%
P2
52.6%
46.3%
P3
52.7%
48.1%
OT
50.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |