Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Brown 54.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Brown leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 85.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 66.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Hischier
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Hischier
Brown
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Brown
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Hischier
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
3
Hischier
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
56.5% (726)
-4.9%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
62.5% (8)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
47.8% (136)
+1.5%
On even strength, Brown has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Hischier
Brown
Home
53.0% (5,477)
57.4% (364)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Hischier
Brown
P1
52.9%
51.4%
P2
52.6%
54.6%
P3
52.7%
58.8%
OT
50.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |