Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Rakell 41.0% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Hischier
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hischier
Rakell
Last 5: Hischier 3-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
Hischier
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
35.7% (129)
+19.8%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
43.8% (32)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
0.0% (7)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Hischier shoots left. Rakell is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Hischier
Rakell
Home
56.8% (791)
41.5% (82)
Away
54.8% (810)
30.2% (86)
By Period
Hischier
Rakell
P1
56.0%
35.1%
P2
58.6%
37.5%
P3
53.5%
32.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |