Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Couturier 53.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 56.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Hischier
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hischier
Couturier
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Hischier
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Hischier
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
53.9% (792)
+1.6%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
62.9% (70)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
51.3% (234)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Hischier
Couturier
Home
56.8% (791)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.8% (810)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Hischier
Couturier
P1
56.0%
56.0%
P2
58.6%
52.6%
P3
53.5%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |