Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Monahan 52.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hischier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Hischier
Monahan
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Hischier
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Hischier
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
1
Hischier
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
53.0% (874)
+2.5%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
54.7% (161)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
47.5% (101)
-3.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Hischier
Monahan
Home
56.8% (791)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.8% (810)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Hischier
Monahan
P1
56.0%
49.5%
P2
58.6%
54.8%
P3
53.5%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |