Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Hischier wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Thompson 45.2% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 95.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 96.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 91.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Hischier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Hischier
Thompson
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
1
Hischier
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
3
Hischier
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
2
Hischier
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
44.6% (661)
+10.9%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
48.4% (95)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
33.3% (33)
+10.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Hischier shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Hischier
Thompson
Home
56.8% (791)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.8% (810)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Hischier
Thompson
P1
56.0%
47.7%
P2
58.6%
45.7%
P3
53.5%
40.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |