Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Thompson 42.8% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 48-25 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 98.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 98.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 95.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 97.0%
97.0%
3.0%
Hischier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
25
(73 meetings)
48
25
Hischier
Thompson
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
11
5
Hischier
Thompson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
18
8
Hischier
Thompson
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
19
12
Hischier
Thompson
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
42.9% (3,540)
+8.7%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
46.9% (373)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
33.6% (265)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Hischier
Thompson
Home
53.0% (5,477)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Hischier
Thompson
P1
52.9%
44.4%
P2
52.6%
43.7%
P3
52.7%
40.0%
OT
50.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |