Nico Hischier vs Tomas Hertl

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hischier 55.4% vs Hertl 57.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Hertl 57.7%
Defensive zone Hischier 78.8%
Neutral zone Hischier 53.7%
Result Nico Hischier favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Hischier Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 6 (7 meetings)
1
6
Hischier Hertl
Last 7: Hischier 1-6 Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Hischier Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Hischier Hertl
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hischier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
58.7% (858)
-3.2%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
55.8% (285)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
62.9% (35)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +19.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Hischier
Hertl
Home
56.8% (791)
60.1% (599)
Away
54.8% (810)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Hischier
Hertl
P1
56.0%
52.4%
P2
58.6%
63.9%
P3
53.5%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
59.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%
58.0%
55.8%
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
58.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 17, 2025 OT 03:46 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Dec 17, 2025 OT 02:13 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Dec 17, 2025 3 08:24 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Dec 17, 2025 2 17:29 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Dec 5, 2025 3 06:41 Offensive Nico Hischier
Dec 5, 2025 3 05:46 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Dec 5, 2025 1 04:12 Offensive Tomas Hertl