Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Hertl 54.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 28-25 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Hischier
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
25
(53 meetings)
28
25
Hischier
Hertl
Last 10: Hischier 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Hischier
Hertl
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
10
6
Hischier
Hertl
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
9
Hischier
Hertl
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
53.9% (8,290)
-2.3%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
59.3% (1,991)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
46.3% (806)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,945).
Home / Away
Hischier
Hertl
Home
53.0% (5,477)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Hischier
Hertl
P1
52.9%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
55.3%
OT
50.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 03:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 02:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |