Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Hischier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Hischier
Seguin
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
2
Hischier
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
10
Hischier
Seguin
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
6
Hischier
Seguin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
55.9% (810)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
49.3% (762)
+0.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Hischier
Seguin
Home
53.0% (5,477)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Hischier
Seguin
P1
52.9%
52.8%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
54.7%
OT
50.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | OT | 00:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |