Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Johnston 48.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 88.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 88.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 82.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Hischier
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hischier
Johnston
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
1
Hischier
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Hischier
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
47.3% (666)
+8.2%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
50.7% (69)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
51.4% (35)
-7.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Hischier shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnston
Home
56.8% (791)
47.5% (364)
Away
54.8% (810)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Hischier
Johnston
P1
56.0%
49.4%
P2
58.6%
46.9%
P3
53.5%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |