Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 40-34 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 54.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 64.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Hischier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
40
(74 meetings)
34
40
Hischier
Gourde
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
15
13
Hischier
Gourde
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
11
10
Hischier
Gourde
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
17
Hischier
Gourde
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
48.4% (4,987)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
57.4% (376)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
40.0% (555)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Hischier
Gourde
Home
53.0% (5,477)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Hischier
Gourde
P1
52.9%
49.8%
P2
52.6%
47.5%
P3
52.7%
47.5%
OT
50.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |