Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.0%). Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Carrick 54.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 50.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Sturm
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
55.5% (470)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
50.0% (58)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Sturm
Carrick
Home
53.0% (168)
58.6% (261)
Away
56.0% (193)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Sturm
Carrick
P1
58.2%
55.9%
P2
53.2%
53.5%
P3
52.3%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%