Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 71.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sturm
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
50.0% (46)
+4.6%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
53.0% (168)
47.8% (23)
Away
56.0% (193)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
58.2%
53.3%
P2
53.2%
55.6%
P3
52.3%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%