Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Couturier 53.4% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 61.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Sturm
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
52.6% (624)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (74)
53.2% (188)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Sturm shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Sturm
Couturier
Home
54.4% (149)
50.7% (424)
Away
56.3% (158)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Sturm
Couturier
P1
57.1%
55.5%
P2
55.0%
51.7%
P3
53.7%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%