Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%). Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Couturier 53.6% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 55.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Sturm
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
53.9% (792)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
51.3% (234)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Sturm
Couturier
Home
53.0% (168)
51.4% (541)
Away
56.0% (193)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Sturm
Couturier
P1
58.2%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
52.6%
P3
52.3%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%