Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Pinto 51.1% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Pinto 57.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 54.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sturm
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
50.5% (556)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
51.1% (94)
+3.3%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Sturm
Pinto
Home
53.0% (168)
50.0% (310)
Away
56.0% (193)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Sturm
Pinto
P1
58.2%
51.8%
P2
53.2%
49.8%
P3
52.3%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%