Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.5%). Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 84.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Sturm
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
53.3% (1,025)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
60.0% (15)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Sturm
Crosby
Home
53.0% (168)
56.9% (675)
Away
56.0% (193)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Sturm
Crosby
P1
58.2%
55.1%
P2
53.2%
53.1%
P3
52.3%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%