Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Novak 42.5% (+13.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 80.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Sturm
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
40.4% (408)
+14.2%
On even strength, Sturm has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Sturm
Novak
Home
53.0% (168)
42.0% (212)
Away
56.0% (193)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Sturm
Novak
P1
58.2%
41.9%
P2
53.2%
39.3%
P3
52.3%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%