Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Zegras 37.0% (+21.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 80.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 86.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Sturm
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
33.0% (264)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
50.0% (2)
+4.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zegras
Home
53.0% (168)
35.3% (173)
Away
56.0% (193)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Sturm
Zegras
P1
58.2%
33.0%
P2
53.2%
35.7%
P3
52.3%
29.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%